Harvey Weinstein's summary and prediction of the first stage of the award season are completely correct. He has grasped the trend of the school's public relations and once again demonstrated his precise control over the award season.

So, what about Langley?

What about lanli, whom Harvey regarded as a thorn in the flesh?

In the fight for best actor in music and comedy, "pop drummer" still failed to win a golden globe trophy for lanli. With the wonderful performance of "Birdman" and Michael Keaton, who is "highly respected" and knows how to ridicule himself in the industry, he won the first important acting trophy in his career, This also broke out the Golden Globe award a surprise, causing a dismay in the industry.

Harvey's prediction is not only accurate, but also the competitor Langley's slip in front of the horse, watching Keaton finish the counter super and win the gold ball trophy——

Although, for the current blue Li, a golden globe trophy has no meaning at all; However, from a different perspective, Lan Li, who swept the world and was invincible, has never been able to make a breakthrough in the Golden Globe Awards. It can be described as an interesting miniature of Hollywood. The hidden contradictions and disputes are exactly the gaps that Harvey is making full use of, which may become another hint of the trend of this year's award season.

Keaton won the prize by accident, and Langley was knocked down by surprise. These two competitors really took away all the focus, so that the three nominees, such as Jacqueline Phoenix, Ralph Fiennes of Budapest Hotel, and Bill Murray of Saint Vincent, were completely set off, and not many people mentioned them.

This is a major turning point for the whole award season process.

Keaton's victory once again shuffled the battle for the film king. After defeating Langley to win the golden ball award, he also rushed to the forefront of the leader; Eddie, who used to keep pace with Lan Li, has successfully won the title of the hero of the plot, and the situation of the second stage of the battle for the film king has changed——

The focus on Keaton is very clear. After 30 years in the industry, he has experienced both peaks and troughs. He diligently polished himself in the circle of film and drama, and then reappeared in front of the public with a self mocking and self mocking "bird man", telling the rise and fall of the entertainment industry in the nature of semi autobiography.

In all respects, "Birdman" has hit the excitement of the judges of the Academy, even further than the "artists" of those years. The overall momentum is catching up with "Youth" and "Budapest Hotel". Coupled with Keaton's personal charm, as well as the inclination of credit and guilt tickets, Keaton's voice of movie king has now faintly overshadowed lanli's, With another competitor Eddie, hand in hand to stand in the leading position.

Nevertheless, Langley is still not lagging behind.

In terms of strength, merit, ability, charm, popularity... Even in terms of guilt tickets, lanli is no inferior - especially after the Golden Globe Awards once again ignored lanli, and the "cracker drummer" is regarded as the best professional career of lanli. The powerful influence created by absolute strength can not be underestimated, which also makes lanli still stay in the first group, They are slightly behind Eddie and Keaton, but they are almost the same. The three actors are now the leaders in the Oscar showdown.

If you add in some competitors like Benedict Cumberbatch, Jack Gyllenhaal, Jackie Phoenix, Ralph Fiennes, Steve Carrell and so on, this year's battle for film supremacy is really regarded as the strongest duel in the new century, surpassing Sean pan, Mickey Locke and Brad Pitt's sparks in 2008, and also surpassing Daniel Day Lewis Before reaching the end of the 2012 showdown between Jack van persick and lenley hall, there are countless possibilities. No one can predict what will happen in the second stage early.

Compared with male actors, the competition for actresses is a small year, and the overall pattern has been basically determined.

Julian Moore, the best heroine in the plot category, has almost no suspense about going to the top with "still Alice". In terms of strength, this is indeed one of the best performances of the year; In terms of credit and guilt, Julian Moore, who has completed the post film Grand Slam at three major European film festivals, has been running with her in North America for 18 years. All the previous four nominations have failed. Is there any reason not to choose her? This should be her coronation.

Rosamund pike, the "lost lover", Felicity Jones, Reese Witherspoon, and Jennifer Aniston, the "cake" can only run with them.

It's worth mentioning that Jennifer Aniston has been in the field of comedy for many years, but this year she made her own way by relying on the low-cost independent film "cake" and won her first drama performance nomination in history. She even hopes to go further in the Oscar. This is also a big topic.

In addition, rosamande pike, who has won numerous praises for her "lost lover", has been born with solid performance skills, and the call for awards continues to soar. She should be the only one who can launch an impact on Julian Moore. As for felicity, the whole focus of "theory of everything" is on Eddie Redman, And Harvey's public relations focus also falls on Eddie. He doesn't spend too much energy on the film queen. Nomination is victory.

But on the whole, this should be one of the awards with no suspense this year. The impact brought by rosamande is really limited. Not only the Golden Globes, but even the Oscars, Julian's momentum is far ahead. There should not be too many accidents in the second stage.

Amy Adams, the best actress in musical comedy category, won the Golden Globe Award for her "big eyes" - last year was "American hoax".

However, compared with the leading actor department and the best picture Department of music and comedy, the competition for the award is not too much, because this year's strong seed players of music and comedy are all male actors, and the actresses do not have much room to play. Even the nomination list is not satisfactory.

Emily Bronte of the magic black forest, quevenzani Wallis of Annie: New York Wonderland, Helen Mirren of Michelin and Julian Moore of star map are the other four nominees.

Apart from the fact that Julien, the double nominated actress, can create some threats, Amy Adams has hardly encountered any challenges, because the other three nominees are more like patchwork, and their overall strength is far from being worth performing, not to mention that the work itself is a disaster.

To be exact, even Amy's performance this year is far from excellent. She is still the best among the short.

Obviously, in sharp contrast to the competition for the leading role department, the leading role department is basically Julian's best.

However, the supporting role department still gave some surprises. The competition between actors and actresses is very fierce. At the same time, the leading edge is relatively obvious.

The best supporting actor, Ethan Hawke of his youth, mark rufaro of fox hunter, Edward Norton of Birdman and Robert Duval of judge's father are all competitive, especially the first three. They are potential winners that can't be ignored from work to strength, but they all lost to JK Simmons of pop drummer.

The best supporting actress, Keira Knightley of "imitation game", Emma stone of "Birdman", Meryl Streep of "magic black forest" and Jessica chastan of "the most violent year", all have excellent competitiveness and have the impact of winning the prize, but Patricia Arquette of "Youth" still wins easily.

The common point of the two award departments is that the overall competition pattern has been initially formed, the works and strength have been affirmed, and the first group has been relatively stable; However, in the first group, the trend of voice and support has again formed a gap. JK Simmons and Patricia Arquette have now vaguely occupied the leading position, and the rising momentum is accelerating, gradually widening the distance between them and other nominees.

Of course, there are still many variables in the second stage. If the Oscar does not reveal the answer, then everything is possible. However, from the current situation, the two awards, like the best actress department, lack more suspense and more waves, and the overall trend is difficult to turn over.

If this is true, then all the focus of the performance department will be on the best actor, and the fierce battle for the movie king will reach an unprecedented height. All the major film companies will use their public relations means, and it will be a bloody and violent arena at that time.

From the perspective of the award ceremony, the college certainly does not want to see such a situation. So, will they add more waves for discussion and attention, so that the other three awards will also have some news? Will any film company seize such an opportunity to create more storms and break the overall balance in the second stage?

Anything is possible!

Even Julian Moore still dare not take it lightly - the company responsible for issuing "still Alice" is Sony classic. How to balance its public relations power, and seek more possibilities in the second stage, firmly grasp the existing advantages, will also be an important topic for Sony classic.

We must know that Sony classic is facing the encirclement and suppression of focus pictures, Weinstein pictures, Fox Searchlight, Warner Brothers and other film companies. In addition, there are many small independent distribution companies that are eyeing. Sony classic can not be arrogant enough to think that it is a safe bet.

The most direct proof is that the Golden Globe awards are once again divided into the cake, and Fox Searchlight firmly seized the opportunity to win the best screenwriter award in a scuffle. This also means that the main awards of the Golden Globe Awards belong to many different films again and again.