The best visual effect, the best sound effect, the best sound editing, the best photography.

After officially entering the technology department, "gravity" gradually showed its strong strength as the number one hot candidate in the nomination stage, winning four gold medals in a row, making people feel the extraordinary advantages of "Titanic" and "Avatar". But in the end, can "gravity" become "Titanic" or "Avatar"? Unconsciously, the best picture Oscar battle has quietly entered the second half!

Unexpectedly, "the Great Gatsby" became the biggest winner in the first half of tonight's award ceremony with two little golden men - because these two trophies were won from the hands of "American scam" and "twelve years of slavery". Such a feat is even more fierce and wonderful than the "gravity" which won four trophies in a row!

After the nomination list came out, the awarding season entered the second stage. The "twelve years of slavery" and the "American scam" dominated the race card and the "American Dream" gradually gained the upper hand in the college's public relations game. Later, they made efforts to surpass the "gravity" dominated by the technology card and the strength card, and completely changed the pattern of the main force of the first group.

But on the whole, the main battlefield of the three works is slightly different.

The advantage of "gravity" lies in the technology department. In this year's award season, it can almost be said that it has no rival. Whether it can occupy a favorable position in the best picture competition, the award of the technology department is undoubtedly crucial. Once the technology department is eroded by competitors, then the best picture is extravagant.

Therefore, in the process of public relations, Warner Bros. has always been unswervingly playing the technical card, speaking with absolute strength, and fighting hard to find a way out; The other two competitors play the emotional card, like lobbyists to carry out public relations work, may soar, may also fail.

The advantages of "twelve years of slavery" and "American scam" lie in the acting department and the script department. The number of nominations for the two works is nine and ten respectively. The "American scam" has only one more nomination for best actress than "twelve years of slavery". Among the other nine nominations, there are eight overlapping nominations for the two works. The only exception is the script, "Twelve years of slavery" is an adapted play, while "American scam" is an original play.

All this means that the two works will start the bayonet red confrontation. The winning or losing of each project may determine the direction of the best picture, and the winning or losing of each award may determine the pattern of the whole award season, but there are still subtle differences——

The "twelve years of slavery" which mainly plays the race card may have more impact in the Acting Department, because the personal charm of actors can often win more votes; However, the "American scam", which focuses on the American dream, is slightly weak. Although their acting department is the strongest and all four departments are full, it lacks the foothold of "race" and the public relations situation is still slightly weak.

Relatively speaking, "American scam" has a slight advantage in the technical department. The sense of the times presented by the whole work is undoubtedly one of the biggest highlights of the film. The modeling of each character has its own characteristics, which makes the screen image leap to paper. Many topics have been created in the shooting stage.

Therefore, the best costume design award and the best art direction award are definitely not only the awards of the two technical departments, but also the outposts of the best film for the "American hoax", which will open up the situation for the subsequent acting department and script department, and also a small summary of the public relations of the Academy in the second stage.

But now, "American scam" has been defeated in the competition for two awards in a row; Moreover, it was not lost to "gravity" and "twelve years of slavery", but to "the Great Gatsby", which was undoubtedly a heavy blow to the "American hoax" crew. The second stage of college public relations did not seem to be able to play a role.

Although the two competitors were not able to win the two awards, which is barely good news, it is undeniable that the strong momentum of the "American scam" is gradually weakening, and then the "American scam" crew ushered in the most important award.

Best supporting actress!

In the interval between the successive awarding of technical awards, many other awards, including honorary awards, were also presented——

The best animated short film belongs to "Mr. Hablo", while the best animated long film belongs to "ice and snow".

The best documentary was a little unpopular, and the popular work "killing interpretation" failed, and "20 feet away from the superstar" won the gold medal.

However, the fierce competition for the best foreign language film has become the top priority of the "beautiful city". Since Cannes Film Festival last year, this work, which has been highly praised, has no doubt reached the Oscars.

A number of awards have been announced one after another. Although there are still three major plays not awarded by the technical department: the best film editing award, the best original score award and the best original song award, it is time for the audience's attention to return to the right track of the award ceremony, and the award of the best supporting actress has officially sounded the whistle of the sprint stage of the best picture competition, This also means that this year's award ceremony has entered the final stage.

In fact, the best supporting actress can be said to be a must for military strategists! Especially for the American scam.

Best actor department, "Dallas buyer's Club" and "gravity" are the protagonists, "twelve years of slavery" is waiting for the opportunity, and the advantage of "American scam" is limited.

In the best actress department, "blue Jasmine" is the best and strong leader, followed by "Philomena" and "American scam".

There is also the competition between the best supporting actor department, "Dallas buyers club" and "American scam". In the end, Jared Leto continued the momentum of the award season and won the Oscars in one go.

In other words, although "American scam" and "twelve years of slavery" have strong strength in the Acting Department, every award seems to have the strength to compete with each other; But on the one hand, limited by the college's public relations strength, on the other hand, the strength of competitors is strong, which also makes the two works really able to launch a strong competition, or the best supporting actress department!

Lupita nyeono, 12 years of slavery, Jennifer Lawrence, American hoax, Julia Roberts, August: Orange County, Rooney Mara, gravity, Kerry Mulligan, the drunkard ballad.

This is the top five best supporting actress.

In terms of strength alone, Julia Roberts is a strong leader. Fourteen years have passed since her last Oscar, and she is now fully capable of winning the prize. However, it is a pity that the overall reputation and level of "August: Orange County" has not been recognized. Despite the strong operation of Weinstein brothers, it is still unable to open up the situation, Coupled with the strong competitors, Julia's winning prospects are not optimistic.

Kerry Mulligan, who has a weak momentum, also left behind early. Although "drunken ballad" has become the annual favorite of countless art practitioners in 2013, this work has never really risen in the award season. After winning six nominations in the first stage, its momentum is slowly declining, especially losing the best actor nomination, It also proves that the work is not acclimatized, which is also one of the biggest regrets of this year's Oscar by the American Film Critics Association. All of these make Kerry's Oscar prospects stop early.

Thus, the competition pattern came to the troika again.

This is not the first confrontation among the three works tonight. Previously, on top of the best art direction award, all three works won the nomination, but Qi Qi lost to the "Great Gatsby"; And this time the best supporting actress award, the strength of the three works is the closest, the competition is also the most intense.

From the point of view of word-of-mouth in the industry, Luna Mara is in the lead. Although her performance time in "gravity" is limited, her performance is gentle but does not lose strength. The sparking role between her and Langley injects wonderful and unique traction, which lays the foundation for the sublimation of the core idea of the whole film. Among the five nominees, Rooney's overall performance was second only to Julia and won applause in the industry.

Judging from the popularity of the college, Jennifer Lawrence is still a well deserved favorite. Compared with the arrogant, indifferent and critical Natalie Portman, the approachable, frank and cheerful Jennifer is obviously more grounded, not only lacking airs, but also easier to contact and associate with. Now among the college judges, she seems to be the first actress of the new generation, Three nominations in four years is proof.

From the perspective of college public relations, Lupita nyouno has seized the commanding height. Although this is her first act as an actress, the retro performance style full of stage drama is out of tune with Michael faspinder, chevat egafort and other co actors, and the black actor Octavia Spencer just won the best supporting actress award two years ago, all these shortcomings can not stop her momentum in the award season, All the advantages of the "race card" are embodied in her, which broke out in the second stage of the award season and became a leader.

The three actresses have formed a tripartite confrontation, each has its own advantages, and the winning momentum also presents a wonderful change with the progress of the award season.

Rooney Marla won the British Academy Award, as well as the New York Film Critics Association, Boston Film Critics Association Award, old golden hill Film Critics Association Award and Chicago Film Critics Association Award.

Jennifer Lawrence has won the Golden Globe Award, the North American radio Critics Association Award, the national Critics Association Award and other Oscars, as well as the Los Angeles Film Critics Association Award and the Seattle Film Critics Association Award.

Lupita nyono won the American Actors Guild Award.

According to common sense, the first stage is the duet between Jennifer and Rooney. Obviously, under the strong public relations of Weinstein brothers, although Jennifer just won the best actress last year, the momentum of winning the best supporting actress again this year is irresistible, and Rooney's momentum is gradually weakening; However, after the second stage of college public relations operation, the American actors union award was out of favor, and Lupita won strongly.

Now, there's no way to predict.