Chapter 802： [I have 10% certainty]

(Ps: I was also drunk. The number of second age, second and third was forcibly changed to 2123 by the system. Now it is also changed to a homophone. Both Arabic numbers and Chinese characters can’t be typed, so I just add one hundred to you. Is this what? Sensitive numbers don’t make it? It’s really bad news)

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A solar storm occurs when radioactive radiation explodes on the surface of the sun and charged particles explode at a speed of millions of kilometers per hour.

A sufficiently strong radiation explosion will affect more than half of the world's radio communications. In addition, when the coronal mass ejection from the sun is strong enough to directly sweep the earth, it can easily destroy the grid facilities on the surface, including in space. Protected satellite.

The Carrington Superstorm in 1859 caused serious damage to the telegraph system at that time, but in the era of the steam engine, it had little impact on human daily life.

But if we encounter such a strong super solar storm in today's modern society, the consequences will be disastrous and will inevitably bring a heavy blow to the global economy.

The most famous case occurred in Canada in 1989, when a high-energy solar storm overloaded the Quebec power grid, causing more than six million people in Canada and the eastern part of the magnesium country to lose power.

The Toronto Stock Exchange stopped trading because the solar storm caused all electronic equipment to be burned. This incident scared many people. After that, ESA and NAA jointly established the solar storm early warning satellite SOHO.

Obviously, if a solar storm occurs, the major powers can definitely predict it in advance.

"Master, the result of the simulation evolution has come out."

After waiting for a while, Xiaona's response came.

Luo Sheng put the tea cup aside, tapped a few lightly on the keyboard, and stared at the information on the panel.

After reading the results, Luo Sheng said: "Contact Academician Yang of the Academy of Space Sciences, I want to start a video call with him."

Cortana: "The communication request has been established."

For a moment, a window of reality popped up in front of Luo Sheng, and a man over fifty years old with glasses appeared on the screen, and he was a "very smart" man at the hairline.

It is Yang Demao, the academician Yang described by Luo Sheng.

"Mr. Luo? It's really surprising that you can come to the door on your own initiative. This is the first time." Yang Demao smiled.

Luo Sheng connected the signal and went straight to the question: "Professor Yang, what do you think about the solar activity in four years' time?"

Yang Demao was stunned, and curiously said, "You came here specifically for this matter? Wait, I will check the data."

After a while, Yang Demao looked at Luo Sheng in the video again and said: "The result of the data processing is equivalent to one-tenth of the solar activity in the 2012 cycle. What's wrong? Why do you care about this issue? Up?"

Luo Shengyan said concisely: "But the result I calculated is equivalent to twice the Carrington Superstorm, at least twice."

Yang Demao didn't react for a while, and after a while he was shocked: "What? How is this possible?"

Luo Sheng said: “Solar physics research involves the use of many instruments. Usually there are a lot of data in different space or ground observatories. Time lag and other factors increase the complexity and error. The Institute of Space Science should not have analysis and processing. Ability. I recently developed a new tool to process large amounts of data and improve future risk assessment. It can filter 100,000 data sets at a time and train an evolutionary model that can identify signs of an upcoming outbreak. Professor Yang, I posted it Give it to you."

Yang Demao nodded solemnly after tactically supporting the mirror. He believed that Luo Sheng would not come to scare him casually. This is not something that can be joked casually.

After the model tool was passed, Yang Demao immediately demonstrated it, and at the same time heard Luo Sheng's voice on the video screen again.

"This set of tools benefits from powerful AI assistance, linking solar wind driving factors with the level of the magnetic field around the earth, and tracking their connection with solar storms to find anomalies in the data. The algorithm provides one for each set of data nodes. The'anomaly score' is currently able to collect data from more than 100 satellite missions and develop visualization capabilities for further research."

After a pause, Luo Sheng added: "Simply put, it has been able to create a simulation of the solar phenomenon required for a super solar storm like the Carrington event in 1859. We can obtain every data in the super storm. , So as to effectively predict."

At this time, Yang Demao watched the evolution of the calculation simulation. He didn't say a word, but his expression became more and more serious.

The solar flares erupted, the super-giant solar storm took the lead to destroy the high-altitude atmosphere of the earth, accompanied by the giant electromagnetic pulse, the communication between the satellite and the earth was interrupted, the solar storm caused a violent current of electric ions, satellites without special protection or other Most of the man-made celestial bodies will be scrapped, and the satellites currently in orbit do not do much protection in this respect, which means that all of them will be finished.

Communications on the ground will also be affected, but this is not the worst place.

Yang Demao continued to watch the evolution of the model and move forward.

Twenty-four hours later, the plasma cloud came to the earth and collided with the magnetosphere, causing a severe geomagnetic storm. At this time, all flights must be terminated.

The geomagnetic storm severely affected the grid transformers, followed by a global blackout, the lights will go out, the Internet will be turned off, and the Dabai robot can no longer use the navigation system, but fortunately the image vision AI perception system can be used, but the premise It is Dabai who can escape this solar storm without being destroyed by electromagnetic pulses, and any equipment that needs electricity will be shut down.

The electronically controlled urban water supply system in most modern cities will be paralyzed, toilets and sewage treatment systems will also stop working, and gradually become messy, heating, air conditioning and cold storage will be paralyzed and malfunctioning, perishable food and medicine will deteriorate. This leads to shortages of water and food, prices will skyrocket, urban life will be severely disrupted, air pumps will be offline, etc...

At this moment, it is difficult for Yang Demao to imagine, and it is difficult to predict how much loss of the power grid of billions of people who are hungry for electricity will bring to people's lives, and what consequences it will cause.

At this moment, he is paying attention to a string of numbers in the simulation evolution that has soared crazily as the simulation time advances, which represents the economic loss caused by this solar storm, which exceeds 7.6892 trillion US dollars.

This is still a direct economic loss.

"Mr. Luo, how reliable is your model? This is not a joke. It involves pre-disaster and post-disaster preparation and reconstruction work. This level of disaster is a major event to mobilize the power of the country. Once a misjudgment occurs , No one can afford this responsibility." Yang Demao said very solemnly. At this moment, he really hopes that Luo Sheng is here to joke with him.

If a solar storm does come, the biggest impact will be large-scale power outages, which will trigger a chain reaction. The power outages are as short as a few days and can be several months or even years. If a response plan is made in advance, shutting down some power plants will help. For the protection and reinforcement of substations, they are all counted on during post-disaster reconstruction. Without electricity, large machines cannot be operated. The efficiency and cost of post-disaster reconstruction will also soar, and vice versa. To complete the post-disaster reconstruction and restore people’s lives to normal.

But what if a wrong judgment or a wrong judgment is made?

Who will be responsible for the losses?

No one dares to bear this responsibility.

"I am 100% sure of this solar storm. If there is a misjudgment and misjudgment, I am willing to bear all the consequences." Luo Sheng replied very firmly. He is a person who has experienced this natural disaster, but this The natural disaster did not involve mankind in the wasteland world where order has collapsed. At least a few major countries have recovered quickly, especially those with strong mobilization capabilities.

And this time with an early warning, Luo Sheng has sufficient confidence to further reduce the loss, and there is more than four years of preparation time, which is not short.

The reason why the previous life suffered heavy losses was the result of a misjudgment of the power of the flare.

Fortunately, this cosmic natural disaster is not a 10-kilometer-level asteroid hitting the earth. If an asteroid hitting the earth, with the current level of human technology, it will basically be hit into the Stone Age and enter a disorderly wasteland world. .

Yang Demao heard Luo Sheng’s exact reply, but his heart became even more serious. After a short silence, he said: “You must call an emergency meeting immediately to discuss and write an emergency report and submit it as soon as possible. By the way, Mr. Luo, this matter Who else knows?"

"It's just you and me at the moment." Luo Sheng replied briefly and added: "Professor Yang, remember to sign my name on the report materials submitted."

Luo Sheng's name is also very important, and it will make the superiors pay more attention to it, and the signature also means taking responsibility. If it is really wrong or wrong, it will be held accountable.

...

(It’s been a long time since I dug a new hole, I will dig a hole for the plot after four years~~~)